Scottie Scheffler has been nothing short of dominant over the last four seasons.

Since his rise to stardom in 2022, Scheffler has won four major championships, 16 PGA Tour events, and an Olympic gold; while he didn’t claim a major in 2026, he was still by far the best and most consistent performer in world golf. 

We’ve seen nothing like Scheffler since Tiger Woods, but Woods’ peak was far more impressive for one key reason. Scheffler’s recent greatness has coincided perfectly with LIV Golf’s inception. 

Several of the world’s best players haven’t played on the PGA Tour since 2022, and even Scheffler’s biggest contender for the world number-one spot, Jon Rahm, joined LIV Golf. That helped him post out-of-this-world numbers on the PGA Tour in recent seasons, but next season could be the last year of this trend. 

2027 is Scottie Scheffler’s last chance to put up historic numbers

Scheffler has benefitted from LIV Golf. There is room to debate how much the breakaway league has helped his historic run, but it’s definitely played a part. But in 2028, things are set to get much more challenging.

With LIV Golf bankrupt, players are leaving the tour in waves. They’ll play on the DP World Tour next season while serving their one-year PGA Tour suspension, but in 2028, Rahm, Tyrrell Hatton, and Joaquin Niemann will be back. 

Suddenly, the PGA Tour will be much stronger from top to bottom. Scheffler will undoubtedly still be the best player, but the talent on the tour will make it much harder for him to reach the top 10 every week without playing particularly well. His advantage over Woods will be gone.

How many times do you think Scottie Scheffler will win in 2027?

He has now won 21 times on the PGA Tour!

On top of that, the PGA Tour’s schedule is set to change dramatically. CEO Brian Rolapp is set to significantly cut down the number of events to around 20 and make every single event equal. This means fields will be stronger week to week, and there will be fewer wins to go around. 

For Scheffler to win nine times as he did in 2024, he’d have to win nearly half the events on tour in 2028. Even for someone of his immense talent, that’s infeasible.

So if Scheffler wants to continue putting up Woods-like numbers on the PGA Tour, 2027 is his last best chance.