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Atalanta and Frosinone meet in round 8 of the Italy Serie A 2026/27 championship at the Gewiss Stadium on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 (UK time).
Maurizio Sarri’s Atalanta return to Bergamo desperate to stop the bleeding after back-to-back defeats against AC Milan (3-2) and Ajax (2-0) left the manager under intense scrutiny following five losses in their last seven outings across all competitions. Across the pitch, Massimiliano Alvini brings a fearless Frosinone side to Lombardy sitting comfortably in the top six, having taken 13 points from their opening seven fixtures after putting four past Sassuolo last weekend.
This Atalanta vs. Frosinone prediction points toward a lively contest where Atalanta’s makeshift backline will be severely tested by the league’s most in-form striker. Find out where to watch the match and what our betting experts are predicting, as well as the probable line-ups expected for today’s encounter.
Prediction
Either team to win and over 2.5 goals in the match
Odds are subject to change.
Across eight competitive meetings in Serie A and Serie B, Atalanta hold a commanding record with five victories, two draws, and a solitary defeat.
The Gewiss Stadium has been an unforgiving venue for the Canarini. Atalanta have won all three previous Serie A home meetings against Frosinone by an aggregate scoreline of 11-0, including a 5-0 thrashing when the sides last met in Bergamo in January 2024.
However, Frosinone’s lone success in this fixture was a memorable 2-1 victory at the Stadio Benito Stirpe in August 2023.
With Atalanta leaking goals and Frosinone playing free-flowing attacking football, Sunday’s clash promises to break away from past one-sided encounters.
Head-to-head
| 4 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Wins | Draws | Wins | W | D | W |
| Competition | Score | Date | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy Serie A | Atalanta ATA | 5-0 | Frosinone FRO | 15/01/2024 15/01/24 |
| Italy Serie A | Frosinone FRO | 2-1 | Atalanta ATA | 26/08/2023 26/08/23 |
| Italy Serie A | Frosinone FRO | 0-5 | Atalanta ATA | 20/01/2019 20/01/19 |
| Italy Serie A | Atalanta ATA | 4-0 | Frosinone FRO | 20/08/2018 20/08/18 |
| Italy Serie A | Frosinone FRO | 0-0 | Atalanta ATA | 23/01/2016 23/01/16 |
Maurizio Sarri’s men return home searching for defensive stability after failing to register a single shot on target during Thursday’s 2-0 Conference League defeat at Ajax. Below is an overview of the hosts’ current form, squad news, and projected starting XI:
La Dea sit 11th in the Serie A standings on nine points, with four defeats from seven league matches matching their entire loss tally from their previous 23 top-flight games combined.
While road trips have yielded zero points, home turf offers an immediate chance for a reset: Atalanta have won three of their four league games at the Gewiss Stadium this term, scoring seven times before the break.
Sarri’s main dilemma lies in an injury-ravaged defense missing four senior central defenders. With Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou, and Sead Kolašinac all sidelined, 20-year-old Slovenian center-back Relja Obrić partners Thomas Thiesson Kristensen in front of goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi, flanked by Raoul Bellanova and Lorenzo Bernasconi.
In midfield, Franck Kessié remains a major doubt with a calf strain, leaving Éderson to anchor central areas alongside Gianluca Gaetano or Mario Pašalić.
Further forward, Giacomo Raspadori (muscle) and Kamaldeen Sulemana (knee) are out, paving the way for Charles De Ketelaere to orchestrate play from the number 10 role between Eljif Elmas and Jonathan Rowe, supplying service for striker Nikola Krstović.
| Date | Score | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2026 22/10/26 | Ajax AJA | 2-0 | Atalanta ATA | Loss L |
| 18/10/2026 18/10/26 | AC Milan MIL | 3-2 | Atalanta ATA | Loss L |
| 15/10/2026 15/10/26 | Atalanta ATA | 3-1 | Pafos PAF | Win W |
| 12/10/2026 12/10/26 | Atalanta ATA | 3-1 | Venezia VEN | Win W |
| 20/09/2026 20/09/26 | Juventus JUV | 2-0 | Atalanta ATA | Loss L |
Marco Carnesecchi; Raoul Bellanova, Thomas Thiesson Kristensen, Relja Obrić, Lorenzo Bernasconi; Éderson, Gianluca Gaetano; Eljif Elmas, Charles De Ketelaere, Jonathan Rowe; Nikola Krstović.
Massimiliano Alvini brings his high-flying Canarini to Bergamo in buoyant spirits after brushing Sassuolo aside 4-2 to climb into sixth spot in Serie A. Here is an examination of the visitors’ tactical setup, attacking firepower, and expected starting lineup ahead of kickoff:
Frosinone have emerged as the surprise package of the campaign, winning four of their first seven matches since promotion.
Alvini’s men play high-tempo, direct football, averaging a shot every 30 touches—the fastest rate in the division.
While a 3-0 loss at Napoli was a setback, their wider away record is remarkably stubborn: Frosinone have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight Serie A away fixtures (two wins and five draws).
Leading the charge is 20-year-old striking sensation Antonio Raimondo, who tops the Serie A Capocannoniere chart with seven goals in seven appearances after his weekend hat-trick.
The frontline is completed by Georgian winger Giorgi Kvernadze and Farès Ghedjemis, with Austrian playmaker Romano Schmid operating in the hole.
Alvini has the luxury of an almost fully fit squad, with only midfielder Florian Grillitsch (groin) unavailable.
In the engine room, set-piece specialist Giacomo Calò partners Patrizio Masini, while goalkeeper Lorenzo Palmisani lines up behind Anthony Oyono, Gabriele Calvani, Giorgio Cittadini, and Gabriele Bracaglia.
| Date | Score | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2026 16/10/26 | Frosinone FRO | 4-2 | Sassuolo SAS | Win W |
| 10/10/2026 10/10/26 | Napoli NAP | 3-0 | Frosinone FRO | Loss L |
| 02/10/2026 02/10/26 | Frosinone FRO | 2-1 | Benevento BEN | Win W |
| 20/09/2026 20/09/26 | Frosinone FRO | 2-0 | como COM | Win W |
| 12/09/2026 12/09/26 | Genoa GEN | 1-1 | Frosinone FRO | Draw D |
Lorenzo Palmisani; Anthony Oyono, Gabriele Calvani, Giorgio Cittadini, Gabriele Bracaglia; Giacomo Calò, Patrizio Masini; Farès Ghedjemis, Romano Schmid, Giorgi Kvernadze; Antonio Raimondo
Recent results (Últimos 5 partidos)
Season stats
60% Both teams to score 56%
Atalanta have conceded five goals in their last two outings, while Frosinone arrive on the back of a chaotic 4-2 win over Sassuolo. With Antonio Raimondo in devastating form and Charles De Ketelaere pulling the strings for the hosts, backing Over 0.5 goals in the first half is a sensible opening play, especially with 15 of Frosinone’s 22 league goals coming before the break.
Sarri’s side have won three of their four home matches this term and possess superior individual quality in attack through Krstović and De Ketelaere. Backing Atalanta on the Moneyline reflects their historical dominance at the Gewiss Stadium, where they have never dropped a point in Serie A against the Canarini.
With Atalanta’s center-back crisis leaving spaces for Raimondo and Kvernadze on the counter, this game is unlikely to finish in a low-scoring draw. Combining a decisive winner with three or more goals fits both teams’ direct approach. Back the 12 and Over 2.5 goals market.
| Atalanta x Frosinone | ||
| Tip | Tip | Best Odd |
| Money Line | Atalanta to win | 1.80 at BetMGM |
| Over/Under | Over 0.5 goals in the first half | 1.20 at BetMGM |
The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker’s site for up-to-date information.
Here are some more bets on Atalanta vs. Frosinone to consider for this exciting clash.
For bettors seeking a bolder price, Atalanta have beaten Frosinone by at least two goals in four of their six Serie A meetings.
Here is where to watch Atalanta vs. Frosinone live:
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