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Málaga and Real Sociedad face off in round 9 of the LaLiga 2026/27 championship. The match takes place this Sunday 18 October at 17:30 (UK time) at the Estadio La Rosaleda in Málaga.
Both clubs return to domestic action navigating very different realities in LaLiga. Juan Funes’ Málaga are rooted to the bottom of the table and remain the only side in the division yet to win a match this season, following a 1-1 home draw against Espanyol. Meanwhile, Pellegrino Matarazzo’s Real Sociedad arrive on the south coast sitting sixth after a chaotic 3-2 victory over Deportivo La Coruña, looking to shake off a late 1-1 Europa League draw against Union Saint-Gilloise on Thursday.
This Málaga vs. Real Sociedad prediction points toward a demanding assignment for the hosts against an attack-minded Basque outfit.
Find out where to watch the match and what our betting experts are predicting, as well as the probable line-ups expected for today’s encounter.
Prediction
Real Sociedad to win with a -0.5 handicap
Odds are subject to change.
The historical rivalry between these two sides features 71 competitive meetings across all competitions, with Real Sociedad claiming 28 victories, 19 draws, and 24 defeats against the Andalusian hosts.
At La Rosaleda, Málaga have traditionally enjoyed home advantage, winning 17 of their 36 encounters against La Real while suffering 12 defeats. While the White and Sky Blues won both league meetings 2-0 during the 2017/18 campaign, this fixture marks their first top-flight clash in over eight years, though Real Sociedad edged their most recent battle 1-0 in the Copa del Rey in January 2024.
Recent meetings have rarely seen goals flow at both ends, with only one side scoring in six of the last 10 encounters.
With Málaga desperate for their first league victory and Sociedad looking to close the gap on the top four, supporters can expect a competitive contest from kickoff.
Head-to-head
| 5 | 5 | 7 | |||
| Wins | Draws | Wins | W | D | W |
| Competition | Score | Date | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Copa del Rey | Malaga MAL | 0-1 | Real Sociedad REA | 07/01/2024 07/01/24 |
| Spain Primera Division | Malaga MAL | 2-0 | Real Sociedad REA | 22/04/2018 22/04/18 |
| Spain Primera Division | Real Sociedad REA | 0-2 | Malaga MAL | 10/12/2017 10/12/17 |
| Spain Primera Division | Real Sociedad REA | 2-2 | Malaga MAL | 14/05/2017 14/05/17 |
| Spain Primera Division | Malaga MAL | 0-2 | Real Sociedad REA | 16/01/2017 16/01/17 |
Juan Funes’ side return to home soil looking for an immediate lift after taking four points from their opening eight matches (four draws and four defeats). Below is an overview of the hosts’ current form, team news, and projected starting XI:
The Boquerones find themselves in a precarious position at the foot of LaLiga, matching their worst eight-game start to a top-flight season since 2017/18.
While Funes’ men have proved tough to beat at La Rosaleda—drawing three of their four home fixtures—a lack of cutting edge has undermined their progress. Málaga have scored just four league goals all season, the lowest tally in the division, and have opened the scoring in only one match so far.
Young forward Adrián Niño has provided a reliable spark when called upon, scoring two of the team’s four league goals as a late substitute, including an 80th-minute equaliser against Espanyol.
Funes must manage several absences across his roster. Winger Julen Lobete is out for the season with a torn ACL, while Aarón Ochoa (meniscus), Diego Murillo (knee), Jens-Lys Cajuste (thigh), and Juan Cruz (hamstring) are all sidelined.
Up front, Chupe gets another opportunity to lead the line, flanked by creative outlets David Larrubia and Joaquín Muñoz.
In midfield, Dani Lorenzo and Pablo Martínez provide the running around holding midfielder Rafael Rodríguez, with captain Alfonso Herrero directing a back four featuring Carlos Puga, Fernando Calero, Ángel Recio, and Rafita.
| Date | Score | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2026 09/10/26 | Malaga MAL | 1-1 | Espanyol ESP | Draw D |
| 20/09/2026 20/09/26 | Getafe GET | 1-0 | Malaga MAL | Loss L |
| 17/09/2026 17/09/26 | Malaga MAL | 1-3 | Villarreal VIL | Loss L |
| 13/09/2026 13/09/26 | Celta Vigo CEL | 1-1 | Malaga MAL | Draw D |
| 06/09/2026 06/09/26 | Malaga MAL | 0-0 | Levante LEV | Draw D |
Alfonso Herrero; Carlos Puga, Fernando Calero, Ángel Recio, Rafita; Rafael Rodríguez; David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo, Pablo Martínez, Joaquín Muñoz; Chupe.
Pellegrino Matarazzo takes his squad south to Andalusia aiming to record a third consecutive away victory in LaLiga. Here is an examination of the visitors’ tactical setup, squad updates, and expected starting lineup ahead of kickoff:
La Real sit sixth in the standings with 13 points from eight games (four wins, one draw, and three defeats), having won three of their last four league matches.
While their attacking displays have been eye-catching—averaging 3.38 total goals per game—Matarazzo’s backline has looked unusually fragile: Sociedad have conceded 15 league goals, the worst defensive record in the top half of the table.
Remarkably, 13 of those 15 goals were conceded in the second half, highlighting a recurring drop in concentration late in games.
Matarazzo will be without midfielder Pablo Marín through suspension following his red card against Deportivo. Álvaro Odriozola (ACL), Jon Aramburu (muscle), and Luken Beitia (ankle) also remain on the treatment table.
The visitors’ attack will be driven by Luka Sučić (three league goals) and Spain international Mikel Oyarzabal, with Gonçalo Guedes and Ander Barrenetxea providing pace down the channels.
In midfield, Carlos Soler—who has set up three goals this season—partners Yangel Herrera, while Mamadou Sarr and Jon Martín anchor the defense in front of goalkeeper Álex Remiro, flanked by Héctor Fort and Sergio Gómez.
| Date | Score | Result | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2026 15/10/26 | Union St. Gilloise UNI | 1-1 | Real Sociedad REA | Draw D |
| 11/10/2026 11/10/26 | Real Sociedad REA | 3-2 | Deportivo La Coruna DEP | Win W |
| 02/10/2026 02/10/26 | Real Sociedad REA | 0-1 | Athletic Club ATH | Loss L |
| 20/09/2026 20/09/26 | Valencia VAL | 2-3 | Real Sociedad REA | Win W |
| 17/09/2026 17/09/26 | Real Sociedad REA | 1-2 | AFC Bournemouth AFC | Loss L |
Álex Remiro; Héctor Fort, Mamadou Sarr, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez; Yangel Herrera, Carlos Soler; Gonçalo Guedes, Ander Barrenetxea; Luka Sučić, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Recent results (Últimos 5 partidos)
Season stats
50% Both teams to score 67%
Málaga’s blunt frontline has struggled from the start of games, scoring just once in the opening 45 minutes this term. Real Sociedad tend to push forward early through Soler and Sučić, making Over 0.5 goals in the first half a sensible selection.
Real Sociedad’s defense has shown vulnerabilities after the break, conceding 13 second-half goals, while Málaga have seen four of their last five league games produce a decisive outcome or high card counts. With both sides needing to push forward in the second period, backing the match not to end in a draw provides reliable value.
While Málaga remain competitive at La Rosaleda, Real Sociedad possess far greater quality in transition through Barrenetxea and Guedes. Back Real Sociedad to win with a -0.5 handicap on the Asian line.
| Malaga x Real Sociedad | ||
| Tip | Tip | Best Odd |
| Over/Under | Over 0.5 goals in the first half | 1.30 at BetMGM |
| Double Chance | The match will not end in a draw | 1.32 at BetMGM |
The odds mentioned were collected at the time of writing this prediction and are subject to change. Always check the bookmaker’s site for up-to-date information.
Here are a couple of extra betting tips for the Malaga vs. Real Sociedad clash.
With Sociedad’s league matches averaging over three goals and both sides needing all three points, pairing a winner with three or more goals offers good value.
Here is where to watch Malaga vs. Real Sociedad live:
Check out the match details:
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