We look ahead to this Premier League match at the Emirates Stadium with our Arsenal vs Everton prediction and preview. Will the Gunners overcome an Everton side who suffered their first league loss of the season last week?

Arsenal vs Everton: The Key Stats

• The Opta supercomputer has Arsenal as heavy favourites ahead of this match, with Mikel Arteta’s side winning a whopping 69.5% of the pre-match simulations.
• No side has conceded fewer Premier League goals than Arsenal’s five this season, with the Gunners also facing fewer shots on target (21) and having a lower expected goals against (5.6 xGA) than any other team.
• Everton are winless in eight Premier League away games, with their three on the road this season all ending level. The last time a team drew their first four away games in a Premier League season was in 2010-11 (Fulham and Manchester United).

The Premier League table is starting to take shape as champions Arsenal return to domestic action, hosting Everton at the Emirates following a 2–2 draw with Bayern Munich in their midweek Champions League clash.

Declan Rice rescued a point for the Gunners eight minutes from time after Eberechi Eze had given them a first-half lead at Allianz Arena, with Bayern bouncing back via goals from Alphonso Davies and Harry Kane.

Viktor Gyökeres came off the bench to assist Rice’s equaliser, and with Eze replacing Bukayo Saka early on before scoring in the 25th minute, no Premier League side this season has more goal contributions from substitutes in all competitions than Arsenal’s nine (five goals, four assists).

Domestically, Arsenal have bounced back from their 3–0 defeat at Brighton just before the latest international break, with one-goal wins over Leeds United and Nottingham Forest. But the defending champions failed to truly convince in either of those victories.

Second-half strikes from Riccardo Calafiori and Bruno Guimarães earned Arsenal a 2–1 comeback victory over Leeds in their last home league outing. They then needed a deflected 80th-minute goal from Noni Madueke to seal a 1–0 win at the City Ground last weekend.

Set up by a league-leading fourth assist of the season from Rice, Madueke became the third substitute in a row to score the decisive goal in a Premier League game for Arsenal, after Guimarães also came on to net late winners against Sunderland and Leeds.

The Gunners have ground to make up on Manchester City at the summit and could trail Enzo Maresca’s side by six points once they kick-off as the leaders face Aston Villa in Saturday’s early kick-off. Everton sit eighth, six places and eight points further back.

The Toffees also made a strong start to their campaign and were fifth after two wins and four draws in their first six games, but their unbeaten run came to an end in a 2–0 home defeat to Chelsea last time out.

They didn’t do much to help their cause, with only six shots in total, their fewest in a Premier League game since hitting just five against Arsenal in December 2025.

Goals could indeed be at a premium in this game, given Arsenal and Everton have recorded the joint-most 1-0 wins (32 each) in the Premier League since Arteta was hired by Arsenal in December 2019.

However, recent form also suggests Arsenal have good reason to be confident having won 11 of their last 12 Premier League games, including six from six at the Emirates over the course of that run.

Everton, meanwhile, have won just one of their last 30 Premier League away games against Arsenal, a 1–0 victory in the behind-closed-doors 2020-21 season under Carlo Ancelotti.

Across David Moyes’ two spells, the Toffees have never enjoyed victory in 13 attempts at Highbury or the Emirates, losing on 10 occasions, while the Scot has lost 11 of his last 12 Premier League matches against the reigning champions.

In terms of team news, Arsenal are still without William Saliba for the long term, and Saka has joined him and Christos Tzolis in the treatment room after injuring his thigh in Wednesday’s 2–2 draw in Munich. Piero Hincapié‘s ankle is being assessed ahead of a potential return at left-back.

Everton, meanwhile, have a fully fit squad to choose from at the time of writing after Christian Nørgaard – who moved from Arsenal while carrying an injury over the summer – finally made his Toffees debut off the bench against Chelsea.

Arsenal vs Everton Head-to-Head

Everton’s dismal record against Arsenal didn’t let up last season, with Moyes’ side losing 1–0 and 2–0 respectively in December (at home) and March (at the Emirates).

Arsenal come into this game unbeaten in their last seven against Everton in the Premier League – winning five – which is their best run against the Toffees since going 13 without defeat between December 2007 and December 2013.

Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

The Opta supercomputer is in little doubt when it comes to predicting the outcome of this game, with Arsenal understandably seen as overwhelming favourites.

Across 10,000 pre-match simulations, the Gunners came away with victory in 69.5% of the outcomes, suggesting there’ll be a very expectant home crowd at the Emirates.

Everton are only given a 13.4% win probability by comparison, with a draw seen as more likely than an away victory at 17.1%.

Arsenal vs Everton Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: David Raya, Ben White, Ezri Konsa, Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Bruno Guimarães, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard, Noni Madueke, Eberechi Eze, Viktor Gyökeres.

Head coach: Mikel Arteta

Everton: Jordan Pickford, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitalii Mykolenko, James Garner, Harrison Armstrong, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Brennan Johnson, Jack Grealish, Thierno Barry.

Head coach: David Moyes

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 16,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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