Sporting sits in the UEFA Champions League league phase projections with a 2.3% probability of capturing the European trophy, according to data published by the statistical platform Football Rankings.

Alvalade Squad Starts European Campaign with Back-to-Back Victories

The club opened the 2026/27 continental campaign with maximum points from its opening two fixtures. Rui Borges’s team secured a 3-1 victory against Galatasaray followed by a 2-0 win over Lens. Those results place the side 6.ª in the overall league table with 6 points collected.

Football Rankings Supercomputer Projects Sporting as Top Non-Top-Five Contender

Within the statistical projections generated by Football Rankings, Sporting stands as the club originating from outside Europe’s five major domestic leagues that has the highest chance of winning the competition. The computer model assigns the green and whites a 2.3% likelihood of lifting the trophy, establishing them as the 9.ª overall favorite in the current tournament sample. By comparison, FC Porto hold a 0.5% probability of winning the competition, based on the same metrics.

Upcoming Fixtures Through January 2027

Sporting faces a schedule ahead as the league phase progresses over the coming months. The club plays LASK Linz at Alvalade on Wednesday at 20h00. Subsequent fixtures include a trip to face Shakhtar Donetsk at Stamford Bridge on November 3, at 17h45, followed by a home match against Manchester United on November 25, at 20h00. The schedule continues away against Roma at the Estádio Olímpico de Roma on December 8, at 20h00, a home fixture against Barcelona on January 20, 2027, at 20h00, and concludes the league phase away to Manchester City at the Estádio Etihad on January 27, 2027, at 20h00.