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Week 8 is the point in the fantasy season where lineup depth starts getting tested in a meaningful way. Injuries are piling up, several useful players are on bye, and some managers are going to be starting players they never expected to use back in August.
That makes the borderline calls even more important. I’m not interested in telling you to start obvious stars or bench players who shouldn’t be near a lineup anyway. The goal is to focus on the range where the matchup, role, or expected game script can actually change the decision.
Here are my favorite starts and sits for Week 8.
Jacoby Brissett is going to be one of the more popular streaming recommendations this week, and I’m not going to avoid him just because the call is obvious.
Volume is carrying a lot of the appeal. Brissett is averaging 40.3 pass attempts per game, the most in the NFL. He threw 48 times against the Denver Broncos last week and still managed 272 yards and a touchdown against one of the league’s better defenses.
Now the matchup gets substantially easier.
The Dallas Cowboys are allowing 19.7 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, the sixth-most in the league. Arizona is also likely to spend portions of this game playing from behind, which should keep Brissett throwing. This matchup opened with one of the highest projected totals on the Week 8 slate, giving us exactly the type of environment we want when streaming a volume-based quarterback.
We’ve already seen Brissett take advantage of this type of matchup. Against the Detroit Lions in Week 5, he attempted 47 passes and turned them into 292 yards and three touchdowns.
There is always some risk because Carson Beck is waiting behind him. A complete disaster could eventually force Arizona to see what the rookie can do. But we’re not there yet, and I don’t expect Dallas to be the opponent that creates that disaster.
Brissett is a borderline QB1 for me this week. I’d start him over Malik Willis and Aaron Rodgers, and I may even end up moving him ahead of Patrick Mahomes given Mahomes’ matchup with Denver and Kansas City’s issues at wide receiver.
Jared Goff has been one of the better fantasy quarterbacks this season, and the Lions are at home, where he has historically performed much better. This isn’t a comfortable sit.
The problem is Minnesota.
The Vikings are allowing an absurd 7.6 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, easily the fewest in the league. Their schedule has helped that number somewhat, but I don’t think the defense itself is a fluke.
Brian Flores continues to send pressure at a historic rate. Minnesota blitzed Daniel Jones on 85.2% of his dropbacks last week, the highest single-game blitz rate of the Next Gen Stats era. Through six games, the Vikings have been blitzing at a rate near 80%.
That is exactly the type of environment that can create volatility for Goff. He is not going to escape pressure and manufacture rushing production when a play breaks down. Detroit has to identify the pressure, protect it correctly, and get the ball out on time.
Goff has scored at least 16 fantasy points in every game, so there is still a reasonable floor. I’m not benching him for a desperation option just because of the matchup. For example, I would still start him over Rodgers.
But this is the rare week where I would seriously consider moving away from Goff if I have another legitimate starting option. A 230-yard, one-touchdown game with a couple of turnovers is well within the range of outcomes against this defense.
I don’t love that New England’s backfield has evolved into more of a three-man rotation, especially with Corey Kiner getting meaningful snaps. The important distinction is that I believe Kiner’s emergence hurts TreVeyon Henderson more than it hurts Rhamondre Stevenson.
Stevenson still played 68% of the offensive snaps against Chicago. He only carried the ball six times for 22 yards because New England fell into negative game script, but his passing-game role kept him productive. Stevenson caught all five of his targets for 93 yards and a touchdown, finishing with 115 yards from scrimmage on 11 touches.
I expect the game environment to look much different against Miami.
The Dolphins are allowing 28.2 PPR fantasy points per game to running backs, the fourth-most in the NFL. New England should have a much better chance to control the game, giving Stevenson more opportunities on the ground without removing his receiving work.
His blocking also matters. Stevenson remains the back New England trusts most in protection, which keeps him on the field in situations where Henderson is increasingly losing work. Kiner could continue carving out a role, but I don’t expect that role to come primarily at Stevenson’s expense.
I’m looking for something closer to 14 or 15 carries this week, with two or three receptions and legitimate touchdown equity. That’s enough for Stevenson to produce RB1 numbers in the right game script.
I would start him over Breece Hall if Hall returns to a Jets backfield that now has to account for how well Braelon Allen has played. Stevenson also gets the edge over Ollie Gordon II for me because I prefer New England’s offensive environment and expected game script.
Tony Pollard just scored 36.5 fantasy points. Naturally, I’m telling you to consider benching him.
Don’t let one game erase the larger sample.
Pollard rushed 25 times for 129 yards and three touchdowns against Cleveland, while adding three catches for 26 yards. It was an outstanding performance, but 41.5% of his entire season fantasy production came in that one game.
Before Week 7, Pollard had four games below eight fantasy points and hadn’t exceeded 13.6 in any game. He also entered the Cleveland matchup with one rushing touchdown all season before scoring three in one afternoon.
The matchup is significantly worse this week. Cincinnati is allowing only 17.9 PPR points per game to running backs, the fourth-fewest in the league. The Bengals are much more vulnerable through the air, which creates a problem for a back averaging only 2.1 targets per game.
Tennessee also isn’t likely to control this game the way it did against Cleveland. Joe Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense are capable of pushing the Titans into a negative game script, forcing Cam Ward to throw whether Tennessee wants him to or not.
Pollard’s volume keeps him from being an automatic bench. If the alternative is Blake Corum, I’m still taking Pollard because he owns the backfield. But I expect something much closer to the player we saw before Week 7 than another eruption.
A line in the neighborhood of 16 carries for 45-50 yards with one reception and no touchdown is very plausible. That’s not enough to justify chasing last week’s points.
Keenan Allen isn’t a player I’m excited to put into a lineup at this stage of his career, but this is a week where the matchup and expected passing volume can get him there.
The Colts are facing a Jacksonville Jaguars defense allowing 38.0 PPR fantasy points per game to wide receivers, the fourth-most in the league. Jacksonville has been significantly more difficult to run against, allowing only 17.5 points per game to running backs.
Indianapolis wants to build its offense around Jonathan Taylor, but this is not an ideal matchup for doing that. The Colts also just traded Quenton Nelson to Seattle, removing one of the best run blockers in football from an already struggling offense.
That should force Daniel Jones to throw more than he did last week.
Allen caught only three passes for 31 yards against Minnesota, but Jones completed just 13 passes in the entire game. Allen has recorded at least five receptions in four of his six appearances this season, and I still view him as the most dependable wide receiver in this passing game ahead of Josh Downs.
I’m not expecting a vintage Allen performance. The appeal is the PPR floor. If he catches six passes for 40 yards, that’s 10 points without needing a touchdown. In a difficult bye week, I will take that from a WR3 or flex option.
There are younger receivers with more explosive upside. Omar Cooper Jr., Tre Tucker, Denzel Boston, and Casey Concepcion can all produce a much bigger play. But Allen is the option I prefer when I need a stable floor rather than a home-run swing.
Rome Odunze showed some signs of life last week with four catches for 69 yards, but I don’t want to chase it into the worst possible matchup.
Seattle is allowing only 21.5 PPR fantasy points per game to wide receivers, the fewest in the NFL. The Seahawks just held Kansas City to three points and have made life miserable on opposing passing games all season.
Odunze also hasn’t produced enough consistently to justify ignoring the opponent. He has only two games this season with more than 52 receiving yards. Last week’s 69-yard effort was useful, but it was hardly enough to erase the larger concerns.
There is also more competition within Chicago’s offense now. Luther Burden III continues to flash explosive playmaking ability, while Colston Loveland has finally started commanding the type of involvement fantasy managers expected earlier in the season.
Odunze remains on the field plenty, but being on the field and earning enough high-value targets are two different things.
I would start Ladd McConkey over him if McConkey is healthy enough to play, even with the Chargers’ offensive problems. I also prefer Emeka Egbuka if he returns for Tampa Bay. Both of those decisions come down to trusting the player’s role more than I trust Odunze in a brutal matchup.
Seattle is not the defense I want to use to find out whether last week’s production was the start of something bigger.
If you’ve followed my tight end recommendations this season, you know the strategy by now: Attack the Detroit Lions.
Detroit is allowing a staggering 29.4 PPR fantasy points per game to tight ends, the most in football. At the other end of this matchup is a Vikings tight end who has been volatile enough that the opponent matters quite a bit.
T.J. Hockenson has three games with fewer than six PPR points and three games with at least 13. His Week 7 performance was touchdown-driven, as he caught four passes for 35 yards and a score, but we’ve also seen the target ceiling. Hockenson caught 13 passes for 119 yards against Miami in Week 4.
I don’t need another 13-catch game to start him confidently this week.
Detroit has been vulnerable through the air generally and especially against tight ends. Minnesota also may need more passing volume than it has in some of its lower-scoring wins, which should help Hockenson’s opportunity count.
He’s my TE6 in the Week 8 range and one of the clearest matchup-based starts at the position.
The other side of the same game gives us my tight end sit.
Minnesota is allowing only 6.9 PPR fantasy points per game to tight ends, by far the fewest in the NFL. Detroit is allowing 29.4. It is difficult to create a more extreme matchup contrast between two players at the same position.
Sam LaPorta is also coming off his worst fantasy game of the season. He caught one of two targets for 18 yards against Green Bay, finishing with 2.8 PPR points.
I’m not treating that game as evidence that LaPorta has suddenly lost his role. He played 97% of Detroit’s offensive snaps. If he’s open, Goff is going to throw him the ball.
The issue is that I don’t expect Detroit to enter this matchup planning to feature the tight end against the strongest defense in football at defending the position.
There isn’t an obvious weakness to attack elsewhere, either. Minnesota has been excellent against quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, and tight ends. The entire Lions offense gets downgraded to some degree.
Tight end is thin enough that I wouldn’t bench LaPorta for a random waiver-wire option with a pulse. But if you have another credible starter, this is a week to use him. I have LaPorta on one of my teams, and I’m starting Kyle Pitts over him.
That should give you an idea of how seriously I’m taking this matchup.