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Canelo vs. Mbilli: 15 numbers to know before Saturday's title fight

Canelo Alvarez returns to the ring this weekend as a title challenger for the first time since facing Dmitry Bivol for the WBA light heavyweight title in May 2022. Alvarez takes on WBC super middleweight champion Christian Mbilli on Saturday in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (DAZN PPV, 1 p.m. ET).

Alvarez (63-3-2, 39 KOs) is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Terence Crawford in September 2025, his only defeat since the Bivol fight. He'll look to reclaim one of the super middleweight titles he lost to Crawford.

Mbilli (29-0-1, 24 KOs) won the WBC interim title with a victory over Maciej Sulecki in June 2025 and made his first defense in a split draw against Lester Martinez in September 2025. Mbilli was elevated to full champion in January after the WBC stripped Crawford of the title.

Although Alvarez enters as the challenger and gives up an inch in height and nearly two inches in reach, he is favored to win.

Let's break down the super middleweight title fight by the numbers, using data from CompuBox.

Note: All odds per DraftKings.

Tale of the Tape

Canelo Alvarez Christian Mbilli
36 Age 31
63-3-2 Record 29-0-1
39 KOs 24
5-foot-7½ Height 5-foot-8½
70½ inches Reach 72 inches
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
Guadalajara, Mexico Birthplace Yaounde, Cameroon

-330: Odds for Canelo to win the super middleweight fight.

+10,000: Odds for Mbilli to win in the first three rounds, the longest odds for any outcome in the fight.

-135: Odds for Canelo to win a decision or technical decision.

+2000: Odds for Canelo to win in Round 8 or 9, the shortest odds for any round-specific outcome in the fight.

15: Canelo's age when he turned professional in October 2005. He won the WBC junior middleweight title at the age of 20.

Canelo Alvarez's title fights and results

Date Opponent Result
09/13/2025 Terence Crawford L, UD12 - Lost WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO super middleweight titles
05/03/2025 William Scull W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, WBO super middleweight titles; won IBF title
09/14/2024 Edgar Berlanga W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, WBO super middleweight titles
05/04/2024 Jaime Munguia W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO super middleweight titles
09/30/2023 Jermell Charlo W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO super middleweight titles
05/06/2023 John Ryder W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO super middleweight titles
09/17/2022 Gennadiy Golovkin 3 W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO super middleweight titles
05/07/2022 Dmitry Bivol L, UD12 - For the WBA light heavyweight title
11/06/2021 Caleb Plant W, TKO11 - Kept WBA, WBC, WBO super middleweight titles; won IBF title
05/08/2021 Billy Joe Saunders W, TKO8 - Kept WBA, WBC super middleweight titles; won WBO title
02/27/2021 Avni Yildirim W, TKO3 - Kept WBA, WBC super middleweight titles
12/19/2020 Callum Smith W, UD12 - Won WBA, WBC super middleweight titles
11/02/2019 Sergey Kovalev W, KO11 - Won WBO light heavyweight title
05/04/2019 Daniel Jacobs W, UD12 - Kept WBA, WBC middleweight titles; won IBF title
12/15/2018 Rocky Fielding W, TKO3 - Won WBA super middleweight title
09/15/2018 Gennadiy Golovkin 2 W, MD12 - Won WBA, WBC middleweight titles
09/16/2017 Gennadiy Golovkin 1 Draw, SD12 - For WBA, WBC, IBF middleweight titles
09/17/2016 Liam Smith W, KO9 - Won WBO junior middleweight title
05/07/2016 Amir Khan W, KO6 - Kept WBC middleweight title
11/21/2015 Miguel Cotto W, UD12 - Won WBC middleweight title
09/14/2013 Floyd Mayweather L, MD12 - Lost WBC junior middleweight title; for WBA title
04/20/2013 Austin Trout W, UD12 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title; won WBA title
09/15/2012 Josesito Lopez W, TKO5 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title
05/05/2012 Shane Mosley W, UD12 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title
11/26/2011 Kermit Cintron W, TKO5 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title
09/17/2011 Alfonso Gomez W, TKO6 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title
06/18/2011 Ryan Rhodes W, TKO12 - Kept WBC junior middleweight title
03/15/2011 Matthew Hatton W, UD12 - Won WBC junior middleweight title

0: Common opponents between Canelo and Mbilli across their professional careers -- a total of 98 fights combined. Zero is also the number of times Canelo and Mbilli have been knocked down.

28: Major title fights for Canelo (25-3) in his career. Mbilli has never fought for a full world title (he's fought twice for interim titles).

13: Months since Canelo and Mbilli last fought. Canelo lost a unanimous decision to Crawford in September 2025 in Las Vegas. Mbilli fought to a split draw with Martinez on the undercard.

44.9%: Percentage of power punches landed in his career by Canelo per 12 rounds compared to 46.1% for Mbilli. Both are well above the super middleweight division average of 36.1%.

78: Mbilli's average number of punches thrown per round across his fights against Lester Martinez, Sergiy Derevyanchenko, Rohan Murdock, Demond Nicholson and Carlos Gongora -- 27 more than the super middleweight division average of 51. Canelo is far more economical, throwing just 35.1 punches per round, 42.9 fewer than Mbilli.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Christian Mbilli CompuBox Punch Stats Comparison

Punches Alvarez (Last 13 fights) Mbilli (5 fights*) Div. avg.
Total avg. thrown per round 35.1 78 51
Total avg. landed per round/Body 12.3 (4.2) 30.4 (11.8) 14.6
Percentage 35% 39% 28.6%
Body landed ratio 33.6% 38.9% N/A
Jabs avg. thrown per round 15.5 20.3 22.2
Jabs avg. landed per round 3.5 3.8 4.2
Percentage 22.6% 18.7 18.9%
Power avg. thrown per round 19.6 57.7 28.8
Power avg. landed per round 8.8 26.6 10.4
Percentage 44.9% 46.1% 36.1%
*Mbilli' fights against Lester Martinez, Sergiy Derevyanchenko, Rohan Murdock
Demond Nicholson and Carlos Gongora.

57.7: Mbilli's average power punches thrown in the fights listed above, landing an incredible 26.6 per round, 16.2 more than the super middleweight division average. Canelo lands only 8.8 of 19.6.

33.6%: Percentage of body punches landed by Canelo per 12 rounds.

49%: Percentage of power punches Martinez landed in Mbilli's most recent fight. By comparison, Canelo's opponents land just 31.2% of their power punches, the sixth best defensive percentage among champions and title contenders in the super middleweight division.

5.3: Power punches landed by Canelo's opponents per round, the eighth best defensive percentage among champions and title contenders in the super middleweight division.

3.8: Jabs landed per round by Mbilli out of 20.3 thrown (just 18.7%). Canelo lands only 3.5 of 15.5 (22.6%). Both are below the super middleweight division average of 4.2 jabs landed per round.

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