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Another week of the NFL is past us. It’s just another set of games packed with action and fun results. There’s a lot to go through, so it’s always hard to pick what to talk about in this weekly article.
So, without wasting more time. Let’s break down Week 9 of the NFL, and we’re going to start with one of the best quarterback performances this year.
Looking at the stats, the Packers rank 27th in how often they run the ball. It’s a straight-up deep-drop passing game that has worked for Green Bay. The other interesting part is that none of this is coming out of structure. It’s not like Love is running around the backfield and finding players wide-open. No, he is dead last in the NFL in scramble rate, having just two scrambles in the entire season. All of this is schemed up, and no one can stop it right now.
While the Packers certainly have issues, Love isn’t one of them. He’s been playing at an MVP level and is the only reason this Packers team isn’t 2-7 right now. Fun stuff going on in Green Bay.
When your defense forces five turnovers, typically that means you’d win the game. Well, not for Tampa Bay.
Mayfield, against the blitz, has an EPA per pass of -0.83. That’s like astronomically bad. Even before the injury, he wasn’t playing well. What should worry Tampa Bay fans isn’t that you’ve committed $55 million to Mayfield, but that this team is good. The Buccaneers have a top-three defense and a top-10 rushing offense. The passing attack has just been so lackluster; the team hasn’t looked fluid.
It’s not like Mayfield has lost his arm strength, even though it’s not as elite as it used to be. He made a great read to Johnson for a big gain of 58 yards.
It’s a fun unit to watch even with the hiccups it goes through. Something is brewing in New York, and it’s been fun to watch unfold this year.
Before Week 9, the Lions ranked top-five in rushing success rate. Against the Dolphins, they had their worst performance of the season, with a 32.1 percent rushing success rate. The Lions have been primarily a zone-running team this year, but it didn’t work at all against Miami. On 14 zone carries, the Lions totaled just 26 rushing yards on the day.
There wasn’t anything special Miami was doing, or intriguing run blitzes. They just matched up personnel and got to work against this Detriot team. Miami played a lot of base defense against the Lions and had a heavy box around 35 percent of the time. Neither of those stats stray too far from what this team has done all season. The best part is the sheer effort from this unit.
Nix had one of his best games this season against Carolina this past week. He had an EPA per dropback of 0.17 and a success rate of 50 percent. All while the Broncos couldn’t get the run game going, totaling just 82 yards and a 33.3 percent success rate.
Quarterbacks understand how to attack single-high looks with ease, and Nix did on Sunday. He had great throws outside the numbers all day and was able to attack the seams late due to the Cover 3 looks.
Nix’s overall performance didn’t blow me away due to the repeated use of screens and rollout within the Broncos offense. Can this game give Nix a string of confidence to get going? The concerning thing with Nix is that he still doesn’t attack the middle of the field much, as he ranks 24th in intermediate attempts.
With a bye week ahead, it’s a good time for the Broncos to take a step back and finally figure out what they want this offense to be. Do they want to be a heavier rushing team? Do they want to get more targets outside the numbers? Will they try to get more Dig routes on the field? It’s something the team has to figure out, but it’s good to see Nix finding some rhythm. Definitely a building block for him and Sean Payton.
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