Week 10 is underway and the shootouts just keep coming. With several totals of 50+ on tap, there are plenty of great FLEX and streaming options this week. These are my biggest stands and fades for Sunday’s games.

Quarterback

Start: Tyler Shough, Saints

Shough has been in a bit of a slump lately, but a date with the Panthers should turn things around. Carolina is 23rd in EPA per dropback allowed. The game has a sneaky high total of 48.5, the fifth-highest of the week, and the Saints have a 25.5 team total. That’s the seventh-highest mark of the week. With Jordyn Tyson ramping up and Travis Etienne potentially returning, the offense as a whole has more firepower now than at any other point this season.

Start: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs

Mahomes gets another easy matchup this week. The Falcons look like an okay defense on paper, but most of their success came in the first half of the season. They were 10th in EPA per dropback allowed through five weeks. Atlanta has fallen to 22nd in EPA per dropback over their past five games. That was before trading Jessie Bates to Jacksonville. Vegas is also in on the Chiefs this week with a 25.5 team total.

Sit: Michael Penix, Falcons

The Chiefs are generally a matchup to avoid for quarterbacks. They’re 11th in EPA per dropback and ninth in YPA allowed. Only four teams are giving up fewer fantasy points per game. Penix’s slump is also becoming hard to ignore. After a few bad games, he’s down to 17th in EPA per dropback and a staggering 27th in CPOE.

Sit: Kirk Cousins, Vikings

I’m as excited to see Cousins back in Minnesota as the next guy, unless the next guy works for a sportsbook. The Vikings have a 19.5 team total. That’s lower than the Colts, Jets, and Ravens. A road game in Green Bay is not an ideal spot for Cousins’ homecoming. The Packers are seventh in EPA per dropback and are giving up the seventh-fewest fantasy points to QBs.

Running Back

Start: Blake Corum, Rams

Without Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Terrance Ferguson, and Jordan Whittington, the Rams have no option other than to run the football until the wheels fall off. Corum’s role was already on the rise before the Nacua (and Whittington) injuries. He had 33 percent of the team’s designed carries—good for 7.6 per game—in his first five appearances. His carry share is up to 44 percent (12 carries per game) over the past month. Corum has also seen half of the team’s goal line carries since Week 7. As 9.5-point favorites over the Cardinals this week, both Kyren Williams and Corum should get going.

Start: Chris Rodriguez, Jaguars

As of Friday morning, we don’t know if Bhayshul Tuten is playing. I expect him to go, but Rodriguez is in a very similar spot to Corum even if Tuten does play. The Jags are 10.5-point favorites at home versus the Titans. No team is expected to blow out their opponents by more. Liam Coen has no issues taking the air out of the football. The Jags have the eighth-lowest PROE this year.

Tuten’s snaps were limited last week, and they will be again if the Jags roll over the Titans. That’s a strong path to a dozen carries for Rodriguez.

Sit: Tony Pollard, Titans

On the other side of this game, the Titans are the biggest underdogs of the week and they get a nightmare matchup for Pollard. The Jags have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs. They’re a great run defense, ranking third in EPA per attempt, and they also limit rushing volume to an absurd degree. Only the Lions are facing fewer running back carries per game.

Sit: Tyler Allgeier, Cardinals

Allgeier would’ve been a sit whether or not Bam Knight was healthy. The Cardinals have the lowest team total of the week and only the Titans are bigger underdogs. Getting Knight back was the final nail in the coffin. Allgeier and Knight split the backfield in Weeks 6 and 7. Allgeier saw fewer than half of the carries and earned a measly six percent target share. Knight, on the other hand, saw both of the goal line attempts.

Wide Receiver

Start: DJ Moore, Bills

Moore has started and finished four games this year. He has a 27 percent target share and a 44 percent air yards share in those contests. That is alpha WR1 stuff. He turned that into 14.2 PPR points per healthy game, which is in line with Garrett Wilson. The MVP favorite in Josh Allen has a clear No. 1 pass-catcher who puts up good numbers when he finishes games. I’m going to keep playing him until I go broke.

Start: KC Concepcion, Browns

The Browns are finally getting Concepcion more involved on intermediate and downfield shots and it’s already paying dividends. The rookie had an aDOT of 5.2 through five games. He had four targets farther than 10 yards downfield. Concepcion has nine intermediate/deep targets in one fewer game over the past month. His weekly fantasy production has more than doubled since the team started treating him as a real receiver.

Sit: Caleb Douglas, Dolphins

We’re giving our Dolphins pass-catchers a rest this week with Kyle McCord under center. Miami’s -11 PROE was already the lowest in the league. It could reach new lows with the backup QB on the sticks. Unlike most weeks, the Dolphins may actually be in a position to establish their ground game on Sunday. They’re 3.5-point dogs against the Colts this week, which is their second-smallest spread of the year.

Sit: Ladd McConkey, Chargers

The Chargers are scoring the ninth-fewest points per game since 2015, which is already reason enough to bench McConkey. To make things worse, his role isn’t even good. He has seen more than 17 percent of the team’s targets in one game this year. That was all the way back in Week 1. Between his injuries and the team’s struggles on offense, it doesn’t seem like the Bolts are even capable of getting McConkey going.

Tight End

Start: Hunter Henry, Patriots

Henry is in Germany for a date with the Lions that features the third-highest total of the week (50). Detroit is giving up the most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Even after a quiet Week 9 from Greg Dulcich, the Lions are still on pace for the worst seasons of tight end defense of the past 25 years.

Start: Tyler Warren, Colts

Warren will be the entirety of the Colts’ passing attack going forward. Being the only pass-catcher of note in a Daniel Jones offense won’t always be a great experience, but Week 10 is a smash spot for Warren. The Dolphins have allowed the eighth-most catches and the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends.

Sit: Tucker Kraft, Packers

Kraft is struggling to earn targets with Matthew Golden and Christian Watson both breaking out this year. He has a 16 percent target share and hasn’t run 80 percent of the routes in a game since Week 2. His opponent, the Vikings, do not allow slot or inline receivers to see the football. Minnesota has allowed the fewest targets and the fewest receptions to players lined up in the slot or inline.

Sit: Mark Andrews, Ravens

Jacoby Brissett might save the day for Zay Flowers, but there’s almost nothing to be salvaged with Andrews. He’s averaging a dismal 1.2 yards per route run and is only running a route on 70 percent of Baltimore’s passing plays. Now he gets a Chargers defense that has faced the lowest pass rate in the NFL.