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The New York Jets (2-7) are slogging through what looks to be another lost season in Aaron Glenn's second year as head coach. The team lost three straight and with two of those losses at home in consecutive weeks to the Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders, it'll take a major miracle for Aaron Glenn to keep his job beyond this season.
And that brings us to Tuesday's 2026 NFL trade deadline. With the season all but over, we're back to the same old situation where the Jets could potentially shop a few of their players to gain future assets. Rumors are circulating that defensive end Will McDonald could be gone by Tuesday. Another possibility could be cornerback Brandon Stephens.
There are teams who could use a cornerback and, while Stephens is far from an elite player, he has played well after a rough start to his Jets career.
But, the dominance of running back Braelon Allen over the past four games has gotten plenty of Jets fans and a few team beat writers talking about Breece Hall being traded. Glenn told the media last week that Hall is not being traded, but one thing about general manager Darren Mougey is if he'll listen to any offers and will not be afraid to pull the trigger if he feels it's in the best interest of the Jets future.
At last year's trade deadline, Mougey shocked everyone when he traded cornerback Sauce Gardner to the Indianapolis Colts to for two first-round picks. No one saw that trade coming and it's a deal that looks like highway robbery for the Jets as the Colts are one of the worst teams in the league this year and their 2027 first-round pick could potentially be the No. 1 overall selection. That's how all Jets fans should expect Mougey to approach this trade deadline. He will try and capitalize on another team's desperation to make the deal he wants.
Hall's situation is an unfortunate, but frustrating at the same time. Mougey turned down an offer from the Kansas City Chiefs during last year's deadling and ultimately signed Hall to a three-year extension worth over $40 million. The contract made Hall the eighth-highest paid running back in the league. Hall had been complaining about a new contract and Mougey gave him exactly what he wanted. But, Hall hasn't quite lived up to that deal this season.
He got off to a great start to the season, rushing for 102 yards and a touchdown in the Jets dominating Week 1 victory over the Tennesee Titans and former head coach Robert Saleh. But, the next two games against the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, Hall struggled badly with only 61 yards on 29 carries and no touchdowns combined. He was injured towards the end of the game against the Lions and missed the team's last five games.
Allen stepped in as the featured running back and has been dominant to say the least. He has rushed for over 100 yards in three of the last four games and is averaging about five yards per carry. Those numbers put him in the top-10 in both categories. He's taken advantage of the opportunity that Hall's injury presented and, while it's a small sample size, been an absolute force in the Jets running game.
Hall, seeing his grip on the starting job slip away, declared himself ready to go for Sunday's game with the Chiefs. He also did what he does best and drop cryptic tweets to focus the attention on him and make Jets fans speculate about his future. Last week, Hall wrote:
To whoever needs to hear this:Through every high, every low, every setback, and every blessing, keep going and keep trusting in the Lord. We may not always understand His timing or see the bigger picture, but His plan is always greater than ours. One day it’ll all make sense.
No one knows exactly what Hall was trying to say and I'm willing to bet he couldn't tell you what he was trying to say without disclosing his true feelings. From one perspective, it could mean that he's not happy watching Allen potentially take over his starting job for the rest of the season. Perhaps, it's a way of hoping for a trade to another team somewhere down the road. But, if it's the latter, then that begs the question. Why ask the Jets for the money you felt you rightfully deserved only to want to be traded one year later?
With less than 48 hours away from the trade deadline, the question becomes does Breece Hall have significant trade value? I used the word signficant because of course another team would be happy to trade a meaningless day three draft pick for a potentially elite, but currently overrated running back. But, a sixth round pick is not going to help Mougey to continue building the Jets future. And imagine Hall running through opposing defenses while with the Minnesota Vikings or perhaps even the New York Giants? Mougey would become public enemy number one for selling way too low on a potential franchise player.
In all honesty, I don't expect Hall to be traded before Tuesday. For starters, he needs to build up his value by getting out on the field and being the dominant runner the Jets envisioned when they traded up to select him in the second round of the 2022 draft. His numbers have been somewhat unimpressive in four years with the Jets. He only broke 1,000 yards rushing for the first time in his career last season and needed a huge touchdown run against the Patriots in a game the Jets were losing 42-3 to make that happen. He is badly overrated by Jets fans and even the team beat writers tend to give him a pass, blaming it on the losing culture surrounding the team rather than the player's performance.
I'm also going to take into account the current play of Allen. It's been good to see Allen have a bigger role and taking advantage of the opportunity. However, it's fair to say that the way he's been playing over the last four games is simply not sustainable for the final nine games of the Jets season. Allen will struggle at some point and hit that proverbial wall. If the Jets trade Hall by Tuesday, it would leave them very thin at running back with only Isaiah Davis as the backup to Allen. Having a running back like Hall gives the Jets excellent insurance for a potential Allen regression.
The best case scenario for both parties is to play out the season and see if Hall can improve his value over the second half of the season. No team is going to give the Jets anything higher than a fifth-round pick for Hall at this stage. Mougey is smart enough to know not to sell low on player like Breece Hall. If Hall shows no lingering effects from the calf injury that sidelined him for five games and gets back to being the elusive runner we know he is capable of being, then his value will go up and Mougey could be in a position to trade him for higher draft capital if he feels Allen is the future running back of the team.
Hall can post all the cryptic tweets he wants, but he chose to take the money from the Jets last offseason. With that contract comes great responsibility and he hasn't come close to living up to the money he's being paid. He owes the Jets big time. He needs to stop acting like a victim and help the team anyway he can. Breece Hall is currently a man with zero leverage and the only way he can gain the upper hand is by getting on the field and being the elite running back he claims to be. Until then, he'a a running back in purgatory through no fault of his own and the only way to get out is to prove his worth not only to the Jets, but to every other team in the NFL.