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Rays vs Guardians, Sunday, Oct. 18, 2026 at 5:08 p.m. ET | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH | TBS/truTV

This series has been one of the tighter ones of the playoffs. These two teams are both small market clubs, with low payrolls and high hopes. Coming into tonight’s game, the series is now tied at two games each, and with that comes the most important game of the series, Game 5. The winner of Game 5 of a 2-2 series goes on to win the series 68% of the time. In LCS context, the teams win about 81% of the time. 

Let’s take a look at how these teams stacked up with their hitting stats during the regular season, and how they are looking now that they’ve made it to the American League Championship Series. 

Regular Season Stats with Major League Rankings:

Tampa Bay Rays: 

• .258 batting average (2nd)
• 736 runs scored (12th)
• 1,405 hits (2nd)
• 169 home runs (22nd)
• .326 on-base percentage (5th)
• .402 slugging percentage (15th)

Cleveland Guardians

• .239 batting average (24th)
• 678 runs scored (24th)
• 1,291 hits (24th)
• 162 home runs (27th)
• .316 on-base percentage (18th)
• .380 slugging percentage (27th)

The Guardians won Game 1 by breaking out their bats, but neither team hit particularly well in Game 2, when a crucial error cost Cleveland. Offense was again hard to come by in Game 3, but a key home run gave the Guardians a 2-1 series lead. The Rays then capitalized on another big hit and a Guardians error last night to even the series. Now, we get Game 5.

Rays vs Guardians Odds

Odds subject to change

	Moneyline	Total	Run Line
Rays	-128	O 6.5 (-118)	-1.5 (+153)
Guardians	+107	U 6.5 (-102)	+1.5 (-186)