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Preview: Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA
Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA

Quick summary Celtics at 76ers · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Wednesday 11 November, 1am GMT

Tip of the match Celtics to win

Game total

Key player prop Jayson Tatum Over 24.5 points

Injury alert Joel Embiid (76ers), unconfirmed

Jaylen Brown faces his old club for the first time in the regular season when the Philadelphia 76ers host the Boston Celtics at Xfinity Mobile Arena in the early hours of Wednesday, with the top two teams in the Eastern Conference standings meeting head on.

The sides last met in Game 7 of the 2026 first round, when Philadelphia recovered from 3-1 down to win 109-100 at TD Garden, and the summer trade that sent Brown to the Sixers and Paul George to Boston has given the rematch a fresh edge.

What is the form like for the Celtics and 76ers?

Form Guide (Last 5)

Boston Celtics 8-2 · 2nd in the East

W L W W W

109.2 PPG

97.0 Opp PPG

+12.2 Diff

1 day Rest

Philadelphia 76ers 9-2 · 1st in the East

W W W L W

113.8 PPG

111.4 Opp PPG

+2.4 Diff

1 day Rest

Boston have outscored opponents by 12.2 points per game across their last five, winning four of them, including a 119-80 rout at Charlotte.

The only defeat in that run was a 109-93 loss at Houston, which ended a five-game winning streak, and Boston have responded with three straight wins.

Philadelphia lead the East at 9-2, though their last five has been patchier, with a 119-95 defeat at Cleveland sitting between wins at Detroit and Chicago.

The latest of those, a 127-121 victory over the Bulls, saw Brown score 29 points and LeBron James add 22, with Joel Embiid contributing 18 points and 10 rebounds.

Tale of the Tape (Season)

Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers

Across the season Boston hold a clear edge in efficiency, with a net rating of +11.6 against Philadelphia's +2.7, and the gap comes from an offence rated more than seven points per 100 possessions better.

Philadelphia's strength is ball security, as they give the ball away two fewer times per game than Boston, which matters in a contest where possessions may be scarce.

The Celtics beat Milwaukee twice in four days, winning 109-102 at home and then 117-97 on the road on Sunday, which shows they can handle a repeat opponent on the second look.

Boston's road form deserves respect, since they have conceded just 100.8 points per game away from home and won three of their five away games.

Philadelphia have also scored 126 or more points in two of their last five games, so their attack can keep pace if the visitors let the game open up.

Philadelphia have won four of five at home but concede 105.6 there, nearly five more than Boston allow on their travels, and that defensive gap is the main reason the visitors look the stronger side on the evidence.

Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers team news and rotations

Injury Report

Boston Celtics

Devin Carter Mononucleosis, no return timetable

Out
No other Celtics players carry a designation at the time of writing.
Philadelphia 76ers

Joel Embiid Right foot management, played on Sunday

Unconfirmed

Adem Bona Cervical spine sprain, out on Sunday

Unconfirmed

Dominick Barlow Lower back stress reaction

Out

Ariel Hukporti Ruptured right Achilles, out for the season

Out

Neither side had published its official report at the time of writing, and Embiid is the main uncertainty for Philadelphia, as he is managing a right foot issue but played just under 29 minutes at Chicago and is not on the second night of a back-to-back.

Adem Bona was ruled out on Sunday with a cervical spine sprain and a return is estimated for this game, while Dominick Barlow remains out with a lower back stress reaction and Ariel Hukporti is sidelined for the season with a ruptured Achilles.

Boston's long-term absentee has been Devin Carter, who was last reported out with mononucleosis, and the visitors face a quick turnaround with a game at Toronto next on the NBA schedule.

Philadelphia's expected starting five is Tyrese Maxey, VJ Edgecombe, Brown, James and Embiid, the group that started on Sunday, while Boston's projected unit is Derrick White, George, Jordan Walsh, Jayson Tatum and Neemias Queta.

Philadelphia host Toronto on Friday and Boston visit the Raptors on Wednesday at 7pm ET, so neither side can afford to spend minutes carelessly in a game that falls early in the week.

Celtics vs. 76ers and the matchups that could decide it

Key Matchups

Former team-mates reunite

22.3 Brown PPG

27.1 Tatum PPG

4.0 Brown APG

7.8 Tatum APG

Last 5 points per game, Brown 22.8 and Tatum 26.5 Brown and Tatum know each other's habits after nine seasons together, so neither should be surprised by what the other tries.
Interior battle

9.7 Embiid RPG

6.2 Queta RPG

17.9 Embiid PPG

9.5 Queta PPG

Last 5 rebounds per game, Embiid 9.3 and Queta 7.6 Embiid has the rebounding advantage in this pairing, but Boston as a team collect more boards than Philadelphia.
Guard duel

26.9 Maxey PPG

12.9 White PPG

5.5 Maxey APG

1.4 White SPG

Last 5 points per game, Maxey 25.4 and White 14.0 Maxey carries the scoring load in Philadelphia's backcourt, while White's steals give Boston a disruptive presence at guard.

Brown and Tatum spent nine seasons together in Boston, so the reunion carries edge even though Brown says the plan is simply to check the ball up and Tatum insists there is no beef.

Elsewhere, the contest between Embiid and Queta should shape the rebounding battle, while Maxey will meet White, who averages 1.4 steals.

Best player props for Celtics vs. 76ers

Player Props to Watch

Points Over 24.5

27.1 Season avg

26.5 Last 5 avg

Tatum has stayed above this mark across the season and over his last five, and Boston's offence still runs through him.

Rebounds Over 8.5

9.7 Season avg

9.3 Last 5 avg

Embiid is averaging above this mark across the season and recently, and grabbed 10 against Chicago on Sunday, so the pick only needs him to be cleared to play.

Points Over 23.5

26.9 Season avg

25.4 Last 5 avg

Maxey leads the Sixers in scoring, sits above this mark on both measures and had 27 points at Chicago on Sunday.

Celtics vs. 76ers head-to-head and the Game 7 backstory

Season Series · 2026 first round

2 May 76ers 109-100 Celtics R1 Gm 7 · BOS

30 Apr 76ers 106-93 Celtics R1 Gm 6 · PHI

28 Apr 76ers 113-97 Celtics R1 Gm 5 · BOS

26 Apr Celtics 128-96 76ers R1 Gm 4 · PHI

Philadelphia won the 2026 first-round series 4-3 after trailing 3-1, closing it out 109-100 at TD Garden in Game 7 as Embiid scored 34 points.

That made the Sixers only the 14th team in NBA history to recover from 3-1 down, and it was their first playoff series win over Boston in 44 years.

Boston played Game 7 without Tatum, and the rosters have changed since with Brown and George swapping teams, so the series is more backdrop than guide for what follows.

Both teams sit within half a game of each other at the top of the East, so the result also feeds into the race for the conference lead as well as the personal storylines.

Celtics vs. 76ers prediction and betting tips

Result Celtics to win Boston rate better on offence and defence across the season, have the stronger recent form and have won three of five away from home.

Total Under 215.5 points Boston play at a slower pace and defend well away from home, and fewer possessions should keep the game below the line even with Philadelphia's home scoring.

Prop Jayson Tatum Over 24.5 points Tatum is clearing this number on both the season and last-five measures.

Prop Joel Embiid Over 8.5 rebounds Embiid is rebounding above this mark across the season and recently, so the pick holds as long as he plays his normal minutes.

Parlay Tatum Over 24.5 points and Embiid Over 8.5 rebounds Two different stat categories for players on opposite teams, so neither leg depends on the other.

Score Prediction

Celtics 109-105 76ers Celtics by four, 214 total points

Boston's edge in efficiency at both ends, together with a defence that has held three of their last five opponents below 100 points, makes them the more convincing side on current evidence.

Philadelphia's talent and home record keep the margin narrow, so the call is a Celtics win in a game that stays below the posted total, with Boston's pace nearly four possessions a game slower than Philadelphia's.

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