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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.8%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 18.1% and a draw has a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (4.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.86%).