Retour
| Tip of the match Nuggets to win |
Game total Over 230 points |
| Key player prop Nikola Jokic, over 23.5 points |
Injury alert Stephen Curry (GSW) - out on Saturday, Monday status unconfirmed |
The winless Golden State Warriors visit the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena in the early hours of Tuesday, as they try to avoid an 0-4 start after the first 0-3 opening of Stephen Curry's career.
Denver recovered from 23 points down to beat New Orleans 141-135 in overtime on Saturday, while Golden State lost 131-122 at Phoenix on the second night of a back-to-back.
Form Guide
Golden State Warriors
0-3 · 15th in the West
Last 3 (2026-27 regular season to date)
L L L
Denver Nuggets
1-1 · 8th in the West
Last 2 (2026-27 regular season to date)
L W
Golden State opened with a 105-127 defeat at the Los Angeles Lakers on October 21 and then lost 108-111 at home to Memphis, a game in which they led by 12 inside the final four minutes.
Saturday's 122-131 loss at Phoenix, where Devin Booker scored 43 points, was their third game in four days and left them 15th in the Western Conference standings and 0-3 for the first time in 19 years.
Denver began with a 96-84 defeat at Oklahoma City on October 22, where Aaron Gordon scored 20 points and Nikola Jokic and DeMar DeRozan managed 13 each, even though Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shot only 6-of-19 for the Thunder.
New Orleans shot 65.9% in the first half and led by as many as 23, but Jamal Murray scored 42 points and Jokic recorded 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists in a 199th career triple-double.
Tale of the Tape
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Denver's clearest advantage is on the glass, where they average 52.0 rebounds against 40.3 for Golden State.
Golden State's edge lies in ball movement and shooting, with more assists per game and a better three-point percentage than Denver, though both samples cover no more than three games.
Defence separates them more, since Denver concede far fewer points per game and the Warriors have allowed 129.0 across their two road games.
The read is that Golden State can shoot their way into a game but have not shown how to contain a side that dominates the boards, which is why Denver are the team to back.
Injury Report
Golden State Warriors
Stephen Curry - restMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat
Brandin Podziemski - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat
Draymond Green - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat
Al Horford - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat
Gui Santos - undisclosed injuryGTD
Kristaps Porzingis - illnessOut
Moses Moody - left patellar tendon ruptureOut
Jimmy Butler III - torn right ACLOut
Denver Nuggets
Cameron Johnson - right ankle sprainOut
Alpha Diallo - wristOut
Spencer Jones - hamstringOut
Julian Strawther - left knee sprainOut
Golden State's availability is the main unknown, since Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Al Horford and Curry all missed Saturday's game at Phoenix and Gui Santos left it with an undisclosed injury.
Steve Kerr started Curry, Podziemski, Green, Yaxel Lendeborg and Graham Ike against Memphis, then paired the two rookies with Brandon Williams, Will Richard and Santos at Phoenix.
Kristaps Porzingis is out with an illness and away from the team, while Moses Moody, who ruptured his left patellar tendon in March, could return in December or January and Jimmy Butler, recovering from a torn right ACL, in January or February.
Denver are without Cameron Johnson, Alpha Diallo, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther, whose knee sprain came in the October 14 preseason game. Both clubs are back on court on Wednesday, with the NBA schedule sending Golden State to Minnesota and Denver to New Orleans.
Key Matchups
Interior test
35Points vs. NOP
15Rebounds vs. NOP
7.0Ike pre-season PPG
4.2Ike pre-season RPG
Ike started at centre in Golden State's last two games, and Jokic's rebounding and passing is the first problem he has to solve.
Scoring load
42Murray points vs. NOP
13.0Murray pre-season PPG
26Lendeborg points @ PHX
15.6Lendeborg pre-season PPG
Both players carried heavy scoring loads in their last game, so whichever one cools off first tilts the game.
Graham Ike went undrafted out of Gonzaga and has started at centre in Golden State's last two games, so he meets Jokic, who scored eight of his points in overtime on Saturday, with a very small sample behind him.
Lendeborg, the 11th pick in the 2026 draft, scored 26 points with six threes at Phoenix and De'Anthony Melton added 25, while Murray carried Denver in overtime, so whichever scorer cools first could decide how close the second half stays.
The Jokic pick rests on a mismatch at centre, while the Lendeborg pick rests on usage, since he has become Golden State's first scoring option with so many rotation players missing.
Neither line asks either player to repeat a career night, which matters given how small the 2026-27 samples are and how much rotation uncertainty surrounds Golden State, with the Lendeborg line sitting just below his pre-season scoring average.
Player Props to Watch
PointsOver 23.5
24.0Season PPG (2 GP)
25Last meeting (Mar 29)
Jokic has averaged 24.0 across his first two games, and Golden State's most likely centre is a rookie who has started only twice.
PointsOver 14.5
15.6Pre-season PPG
23.1Pre-season MPG
The rookie is the Warriors' most dependable scoring outlet while their veterans are rested, and he plays sizeable minutes.
Season Series
Mar 29, 2026Nuggets 116-93 WarriorsJokic led all scorers with 25 pointsDenver
Feb 22, 2026Warriors 128-117 NuggetsSan Francisco
Nov 7, 2025Nuggets 129-104 WarriorsDenver
Oct 23, 2025Warriors 137-131 Nuggets (OT)San Francisco
Last season's series finished 2-2 and the home team won all four meetings, with Golden State taking 137-131 in overtime on October 23, 2025 and 128-117 on February 22, and Denver winning 129-104 on November 7 and 116-93 on March 29.
Denver's two home wins came by 25 and 23 points, which is the strongest evidence in the series for a comfortable Nuggets win in Denver.
Last season's records show the same gap at 54-28 for Denver and 37-45 for Golden State, and Denver also won 119-115 at home on December 3, 2024 and 114-105 in San Francisco on March 17, 2025.
Golden State have conceded 111 or more in all three losses, while Denver have the clearer edge on the boards and at the defensive end.
Three of the last four meetings cleared 230 combined points, and both of Golden State's road games and Denver's home game this season cleared that mark too.
Jokic led all scorers in the last meeting in Denver and faces a rookie-led centre rotation.
Lendeborg took the lead scoring role in Golden State's last game and carries a sizeable minutes load.
The two are linked, since a comfortable Denver win runs through Jokic, so this is a combined view rather than two separate edges.
Score Prediction
Nuggets 124-112 Warriors
Predicted margin of 12 points · predicted total of 236
Denver's rebounding edge and Golden State's road defence point to a Nuggets win, and the visitors' habit of conceding big scores points to a total above 230.
Our prediction is a 124-112 Nuggets win, built on Jokic controlling the interior and a thin Golden State rotation running short of answers in the second half.