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Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA

Tip of the match

Nuggets to win

Game total

Over 230 points

Key player prop

Nikola Jokic, over 23.5 points

Injury alert

Stephen Curry (GSW) - out on Saturday, Monday status unconfirmed

The winless Golden State Warriors visit the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena in the early hours of Tuesday, as they try to avoid an 0-4 start after the first 0-3 opening of Stephen Curry's career.

Denver recovered from 23 points down to beat New Orleans 141-135 in overtime on Saturday, while Golden State lost 131-122 at Phoenix on the second night of a back-to-back.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets form guide and outlook

Form Guide

Golden State Warriors

0-3 · 15th in the West

Last 3 (2026-27 regular season to date)

L L L

Denver Nuggets

1-1 · 8th in the West

Last 2 (2026-27 regular season to date)

L W

Golden State opened with a 105-127 defeat at the Los Angeles Lakers on October 21 and then lost 108-111 at home to Memphis, a game in which they led by 12 inside the final four minutes.

Saturday's 122-131 loss at Phoenix, where Devin Booker scored 43 points, was their third game in four days and left them 15th in the Western Conference standings and 0-3 for the first time in 19 years.

Denver began with a 96-84 defeat at Oklahoma City on October 22, where Aaron Gordon scored 20 points and Nikola Jokic and DeMar DeRozan managed 13 each, even though Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shot only 6-of-19 for the Thunder.

New Orleans shot 65.9% in the first half and led by as many as 23, but Jamal Murray scored 42 points and Jokic recorded 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists in a 199th career triple-double.

Tale of the Tape

Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets

Denver's clearest advantage is on the glass, where they average 52.0 rebounds against 40.3 for Golden State.

Golden State's edge lies in ball movement and shooting, with more assists per game and a better three-point percentage than Denver, though both samples cover no more than three games.

Defence separates them more, since Denver concede far fewer points per game and the Warriors have allowed 129.0 across their two road games.

The read is that Golden State can shoot their way into a game but have not shown how to contain a side that dominates the boards, which is why Denver are the team to back.

Team news and rotations for Warriors vs. Nuggets

Injury Report

Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry - restMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat

Brandin Podziemski - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat

Draymond Green - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat

Al Horford - backMissed Saturday, Monday status unconfirmedOut Sat

Gui Santos - undisclosed injuryGTD

Kristaps Porzingis - illnessOut

Moses Moody - left patellar tendon ruptureOut

Jimmy Butler III - torn right ACLOut

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson - right ankle sprainOut

Alpha Diallo - wristOut

Spencer Jones - hamstringOut

Julian Strawther - left knee sprainOut

Golden State's availability is the main unknown, since Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Al Horford and Curry all missed Saturday's game at Phoenix and Gui Santos left it with an undisclosed injury.

Steve Kerr started Curry, Podziemski, Green, Yaxel Lendeborg and Graham Ike against Memphis, then paired the two rookies with Brandon Williams, Will Richard and Santos at Phoenix.

Kristaps Porzingis is out with an illness and away from the team, while Moses Moody, who ruptured his left patellar tendon in March, could return in December or January and Jimmy Butler, recovering from a torn right ACL, in January or February.

Denver are without Cameron Johnson, Alpha Diallo, Spencer Jones and Julian Strawther, whose knee sprain came in the October 14 preseason game. Both clubs are back on court on Wednesday, with the NBA schedule sending Golden State to Minnesota and Denver to New Orleans.

Warriors vs. Nuggets key matchups that could decide it

Key Matchups

Interior test

35Points vs. NOP

15Rebounds vs. NOP

7.0Ike pre-season PPG

4.2Ike pre-season RPG

Ike started at centre in Golden State's last two games, and Jokic's rebounding and passing is the first problem he has to solve.

Scoring load

42Murray points vs. NOP

13.0Murray pre-season PPG

26Lendeborg points @ PHX

15.6Lendeborg pre-season PPG

Both players carried heavy scoring loads in their last game, so whichever one cools off first tilts the game.

Graham Ike went undrafted out of Gonzaga and has started at centre in Golden State's last two games, so he meets Jokic, who scored eight of his points in overtime on Saturday, with a very small sample behind him.

Lendeborg, the 11th pick in the 2026 draft, scored 26 points with six threes at Phoenix and De'Anthony Melton added 25, while Murray carried Denver in overtime, so whichever scorer cools first could decide how close the second half stays.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets player props

The Jokic pick rests on a mismatch at centre, while the Lendeborg pick rests on usage, since he has become Golden State's first scoring option with so many rotation players missing.

Neither line asks either player to repeat a career night, which matters given how small the 2026-27 samples are and how much rotation uncertainty surrounds Golden State, with the Lendeborg line sitting just below his pre-season scoring average.

Player Props to Watch

Nikola JokicDEN

PointsOver 23.5

24.0Season PPG (2 GP)

25Last meeting (Mar 29)

Jokic has averaged 24.0 across his first two games, and Golden State's most likely centre is a rookie who has started only twice.

Yaxel LendeborgGSW

PointsOver 14.5

15.6Pre-season PPG

23.1Pre-season MPG

The rookie is the Warriors' most dependable scoring outlet while their veterans are rested, and he plays sizeable minutes.

Warriors vs. Nuggets head-to-head and recent meetings

Season Series

Mar 29, 2026Nuggets 116-93 WarriorsJokic led all scorers with 25 pointsDenver

Feb 22, 2026Warriors 128-117 NuggetsSan Francisco

Nov 7, 2025Nuggets 129-104 WarriorsDenver

Oct 23, 2025Warriors 137-131 Nuggets (OT)San Francisco

Last season's series finished 2-2 and the home team won all four meetings, with Golden State taking 137-131 in overtime on October 23, 2025 and 128-117 on February 22, and Denver winning 129-104 on November 7 and 116-93 on March 29.

Denver's two home wins came by 25 and 23 points, which is the strongest evidence in the series for a comfortable Nuggets win in Denver.

Last season's records show the same gap at 54-28 for Denver and 37-45 for Golden State, and Denver also won 119-115 at home on December 3, 2024 and 114-105 in San Francisco on March 17, 2025.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets prediction and tips

Moneyline Denver Nuggets to win

Golden State have conceded 111 or more in all three losses, while Denver have the clearer edge on the boards and at the defensive end.

Total Over 230 points

Three of the last four meetings cleared 230 combined points, and both of Golden State's road games and Denver's home game this season cleared that mark too.

Prop Nikola Jokic over 23.5 points

Jokic led all scorers in the last meeting in Denver and faces a rookie-led centre rotation.

Prop Yaxel Lendeborg over 14.5 points

Lendeborg took the lead scoring role in Golden State's last game and carries a sizeable minutes load.

Parlay Nuggets to win + Jokic over 23.5 points

The two are linked, since a comfortable Denver win runs through Jokic, so this is a combined view rather than two separate edges.

Score Prediction

Nuggets 124-112 Warriors

Predicted margin of 12 points · predicted total of 236

Denver's rebounding edge and Golden State's road defence point to a Nuggets win, and the visitors' habit of conceding big scores points to a total above 230.

Our prediction is a 124-112 Nuggets win, built on Jokic controlling the interior and a thin Golden State rotation running short of answers in the second half.

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