Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.