Florida State men's basketball will look to rebound from its first loss of the 2026-27 season Friday evening to Florida, and ESPN expects the Seminoles to get back in the win column.

According to ESPN's Matchup Predictor, Florida State has an 89.3% chance of defeating Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at the Donald L. Tucker Center, leaving the visiting Islanders with just a 10.7% chance of pulling off the upset. The projection comes after Florida State (2-1) suffered an 81-72 defeat to No. 1 Florida on Tuesday night, a game that exposed several areas head coach Luke Loucks hopes to address.

Despite keeping the contest competitive, the Seminoles struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 4-of-21 three-point attempts. Florida also controlled the rebounding battle 41-29, limiting FSU's ability to capitalize on defensive stops.

Sebastian Rancik continued his impressive start to the season with a game-high 23 points, while Anthony Robinson II added 19 points and three assists.

Friday's opponent, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (2-1), enters the matchup riding a two-game winning streak following victories over Louisiana and Dallas Christian.

The Islanders recently dominated Dallas Christian 102-58, shooting 53.2% from the field while collecting 51 rebounds. Their performance on the glass could present an interesting challenge for a Florida State frontcourt looking to improve following Tuesday's defeat.

Although ESPN heavily favors the Seminoles, the matchup presents an opportunity for Loucks' squad to demonstrate its ability to respond to adversity and clean up the mistakes that proved costly against Florida. FSU will also look to extend its historical advantage over the Islanders, having won three of the programs' four previous meetings, including a 94-54 victory in their most recent matchup in 2010.

The Seminoles and Islanders are scheduled to tip off Friday, Nov. 13, at 5 p.m. ET inside the Donald L. Tucker Center, with the game available on ACC Network Extra.