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NFL Week 9 International Series Best Player Props—Bengals Vs. Falcons
Tee Higgins celebrates a touchdown.

Tee Higgins is averaging 103.7 receiving yards per game this year.

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NFL Week 9 resumes on Sunday morning with the latest in the NFL’s International Series, a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Atlanta Falcons in Madrid. The Bengals are 3.0-point favorites after their overtime win in Week 8 against the Titans, and the Falcons stumble into this one after getting beaten 16-0 by the Buccaneers in rainy conditions.

The game’s over/under total is 52.5 points. The spread and total suggest a shootout.

The following two player props lean into shootout expectations, with receiving overs for one of Cincinnati’s two stud wide receivers and one of Atlanta’s athletic pass-catching weapons. This year’s player props are 14-10, and they’ve generated $264 in profit for anyone who bet $100 on each at the listed odds. The following player props offer an excellent opportunity to continue building on the year’s stellar record and profit.

NFL Week 9: International Series (Madrid) Best Player Props

  • Tee Higgins Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-125) at Fanatics Sportsbook
  • Kyle Pitts Over 4.5 Receptions (+135) at Fanatics Sportsbook

Tee Higgins (Cincinnati Bengals - WR)

Tee Higgins is having a sensational season. Among 65 wideouts with at least 150 routes this year, Higgins ranks 17th in route participation rate (84.4%), tied for 16th in target share (22.8%), tied for 17th in targets per route run (0.25 TPRR), 18th in first-read rate (27.5%), eighth in air yard share (40.5%), tied for seventh in receptions per game (6.1), second in receiving yards per game (103.7), third in yards per route run (2.98 Y/RR), first in yards per target (11.90) and third in yards per reception (16.88).

Higgins has gone over 75.5 receiving yards in back-to-back games and five of seven this season. His median output is 95 receiving yards.

Higgins also has eye-catching numbers against Atlanta’s coverage tendencies. Since Week 5, the Falcons have played man coverage at the 10th-highest rate (28.6% versus 23.9% league average) and 10th in single-high coverage (56.3% versus 50.0% league average).

Higgins has torched man coverage for 0.34 TPRR and 4.21 Y/RR on 38 routes and single-high coverage for 0.24 TPRR and 3.40 Y/RR on 123 routes. The field-stretching wideout also has 0.25 TPRR and 2.90 Y/RR on 195 routes against zone and 0.26 TPRR and 2.55 Y/RR on 121 routes against two-high coverage. Thus, he can excel against any coverage looks the Falcons provide.

Higgins also has a plus matchup. Last week, Baker Mayfield attempted only three passes and completed none, partly because of the weather but also because the Bucs steamrolled the Falcons on the ground. Through Week 7, Atlanta permitted the third-most receiving yards per game (127.1) to outside wide receivers and the eighth-most yards per target (9.08). Higgins has an 88.1% wide alignment rate this year. Higgins should have another big game and clear 75.5 receiving yards in Madrid.

Kyle Pitts (Atlanta Falcons - TE)

Michael Penix made his season debut in Week 3. In Penix’s six starts, Kyle Pitts has a 60.4% snap share, 63.2% route participation rate, 15.8% target share, 0.23 TPRR, 17.9% first-read rate, 9.0% air yard share, 4.07-yard average depth of target (aDOT), 3.5 receptions per game, 30.3 receiving yards per game, 1.56 Y/RR, 6.74 yards per target and 8.67 yards per reception.

Pitts has been used at a shallow aDOT, depressing his yards per route run, yards per target and yards per reception. However, shorter passes are easier to complete, so he’s piled up 3.5 receptions per game. Obviously, 3.5 receptions per game is short of his line of 4.5 receptions.

He had only one reception in Penix’s first start, when the Falcons ran all over and beat the brakes off the Packers. Pitts had only two receptions in last week’s rainy conditions. In the four games sandwiched between those efforts, Pitts logged a 61.4% snap share, 60.7% route participation rate, 17.2% target share, 0.26 TPRR, 19.3% first-read rate, 9.1% air yard share, 3.86-yard aDOT, 4.5 receptions per game, 42.8 receiving yards per game, 2.09 Y/RR, 8.14 yards per target and 9.50 yards per reception.

Pitts had precisely five receptions in Week 5, Week 6 and Week 7. The Bengals offer him a cushy get-right matchup this week. The Bengals have allowed the second-most receptions per game (7.0), the second-most receiving yards per game (88.7) and the most yards per target (9.55) to tight ends this year. Dalton Schultz (12 receptions in Week 2), Brenton Strange (seven receptions in Week 4) and Gunnar Helm (five receptions in Week 8) eclipsed 4.5 receptions against the Bengals this season.

Bijan Robinson and Drake London are Atlanta’s top dogs, but Pitts is arguably their third-best offensive weapon and can be utilized more than usual in a drool-inducing matchup. As a result, Pitts should thrive in the International Series contest and produce at least five receptions on Sunday morning.

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